Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Crosby 55.5% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 96.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 75.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Dowd
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Dowd
Crosby
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Dowd
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
0
Dowd
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
53.7% (984)
-2.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.7% (241)
-64.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
64.3% (14)
-22.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Dowd
Crosby
Home
48.6% (451)
56.9% (649)
Away
49.5% (416)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Dowd
Crosby
P1
49.1%
55.8%
P2
47.3%
53.2%
P3
51.4%
58.7%
OT
30.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |