Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Crosby 56.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 94.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Dowd
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Dowd
Crosby
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
8
Dowd
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
6
1
Dowd
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
56.2% (1,451)
-4.0%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
61.4% (293)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
55.3% (38)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Dowd
Crosby
Home
51.5% (619)
59.1% (939)
Away
48.1% (576)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Dowd
Crosby
P1
51.7%
54.9%
P2
51.6%
60.8%
P3
47.0%
55.4%
OT
22.2%
53.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |