Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 77 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Crosby 53.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 99-74 in 173 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 84.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 86.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 71.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Dowd
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
74
-
99
(173 meetings)
74
99
Dowd
Crosby
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
70
Dowd
Crosby
77 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
49
10
Dowd
Crosby
59 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
18
19
Dowd
Crosby
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
52.8% (17,990)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
57.4% (4,733)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
47.1% (765)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Dowd
Crosby
Home
51.9% (3,897)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Dowd
Crosby
P1
51.7%
53.6%
P2
50.4%
53.9%
P3
50.3%
53.3%
OT
45.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |