Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Jost 42.2% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 67.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 91.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 85.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Dowd
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Dowd
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
40.8% (314)
+14.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
37.5% (8)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
39.4% (104)
+6.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Jost is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Dowd
Jost
Home
58.2% (462)
42.8% (264)
Away
49.3% (481)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Dowd
Jost
P1
55.6%
37.4%
P2
50.5%
40.5%
P3
53.9%
43.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |