Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Jost 47.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 94.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 63.6%
Neutral zone
Jost 57.9%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 94.1%
5.9%
94.1%
Dowd
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dowd
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Dowd
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
45.7% (116)
+6.5%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
37.5% (8)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
50.0% (2)
-6.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Jost is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Dowd
Jost
Home
51.5% (619)
39.7% (68)
Away
48.1% (576)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Dowd
Jost
P1
51.7%
40.5%
P2
51.6%
47.9%
P3
47.0%
47.2%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |