Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Jost 40.8% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 71.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 83.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Dowd
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dowd
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Jost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
41.8% (388)
+13.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
0.0% (3)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
21.7% (60)
+16.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Jost is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Dowd
Jost
Home
53.7% (445)
42.6% (230)
Away
47.7% (407)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Dowd
Jost
P1
48.8%
43.2%
P2
49.3%
38.2%
P3
54.0%
34.6%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |