Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Jost 45.0% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 90.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 68.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Dowd
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dowd
Jost
Last 5: Dowd 3-2 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Jost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
43.3% (194)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
25.0% (8)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Jost is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Dowd
Jost
Home
46.3% (492)
39.7% (78)
Away
49.8% (532)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Dowd
Jost
P1
49.1%
40.5%
P2
48.2%
43.2%
P3
46.9%
44.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |