Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.5% vs Girgensons 42.9% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Dowd
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (485)
36.2% (94)
+17.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (186)
41.2% (17)
-1.4%
On even strength, Dowd has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Dowd is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Dowd shoots right. Girgensons is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Dowd
Girgensons
Home
48.5% (307)
38.0% (50)
Away
50.3% (366)
35.5% (62)
By Period
Dowd
Girgensons
P1
50.7%
43.2%
P2
49.1%
34.3%
P3
49.6%
32.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |