Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Girgensons 46.9% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 88.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 59.0%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 53.4%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Dowd
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
45.3% (128)
+9.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.0% (4)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
45.3% (75)
-7.1%
On even strength, Dowd has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Girgensons is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Dowd
Girgensons
Home
53.7% (445)
41.0% (100)
Away
47.7% (407)
49.5% (107)
By Period
Dowd
Girgensons
P1
48.8%
41.9%
P2
49.3%
53.9%
P3
54.0%
40.0%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
32.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.4%