Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Girgensons 49.9% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 61.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Dowd
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
49.0% (210)
+6.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
63.6% (22)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
47.3% (55)
-1.8%
On power play, Girgensons has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Girgensons is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Dowd
Girgensons
Home
58.2% (462)
52.1% (142)
Away
49.3% (481)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Dowd
Girgensons
P1
55.6%
54.3%
P2
50.5%
49.1%
P3
53.9%
44.8%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
49.8%