Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 89.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 61.9%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 50.6%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Dowd
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
47.2% (127)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
50.0% (2)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Girgensons is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Dowd
Girgensons
Home
51.5% (619)
50.0% (80)
Away
48.1% (576)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Dowd
Girgensons
P1
51.7%
40.5%
P2
51.6%
54.3%
P3
47.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%