Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs Aho 52.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 74.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 74.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 59.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Bjugstad
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Bjugstad
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
51.6% (819)
+4.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
58.4% (173)
-58.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
46.3% (67)
+10.8%
On power play, Aho has a +58.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Bjugstad shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Aho
Home
53.2% (111)
53.9% (568)
Away
56.9% (144)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Bjugstad
Aho
P1
44.6%
55.4%
P2
61.4%
51.2%
P3
61.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |