Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Aho 54.9% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 51.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 75.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Bjugstad
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Bjugstad
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Bjugstad
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Bjugstad
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
54.5% (870)
-7.8%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
62.4% (266)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
37.1% (62)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Bjugstad shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Aho
Home
47.3% (220)
53.9% (603)
Away
47.5% (217)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Bjugstad
Aho
P1
46.1%
54.1%
P2
46.3%
55.0%
P3
50.4%
57.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |