Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+13.7%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 71.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 77.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Paul
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
37.7% (53)
+16.1%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
40.9% (44)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
66.7% (3)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Paul shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Paul
Schmaltz
Home
54.2% (450)
34.7% (49)
Away
53.3% (471)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Paul
Schmaltz
P1
58.2%
25.9%
P2
50.6%
46.2%
P3
52.9%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%