Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+8.0%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 71.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 69.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Paul
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
45.9% (665)
+7.3%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
46.8% (111)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
50.0% (24)
+0.0%
On power play, Paul has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Paul shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Paul
Schmaltz
Home
54.6% (183)
44.7% (409)
Away
53.6% (233)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Paul
Schmaltz
P1
56.3%
40.3%
P2
54.8%
47.6%
P3
52.4%
51.0%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%