Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 53.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 86.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 75.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Paul
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Paul
Schmaltz
Last 10: Paul 7-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
5
Paul
Schmaltz
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
6
0
Paul
Schmaltz
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
41.2% (3,399)
+11.3%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
47.1% (649)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
47.8% (134)
-1.1%
On even strength, Paul has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Paul shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Paul
Schmaltz
Home
52.7% (2,412)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Paul
Schmaltz
P1
53.9%
41.1%
P2
51.0%
42.9%
P3
52.0%
43.0%
OT
50.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
51.4%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |