Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 50.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 55.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 50.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Paul
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Paul
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Paul
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
38.5% (309)
+14.6%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
53.2% (79)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
25.0% (12)
+33.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Paul shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Paul
Schmaltz
Home
56.0% (466)
38.0% (184)
Away
52.7% (512)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Paul
Schmaltz
P1
57.2%
40.3%
P2
54.9%
39.9%
P3
51.5%
40.7%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Nick Paul |