Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 51.7% vs Monahan 49.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 84.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 61.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Paul
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Paul
Monahan
Last 10: Paul 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Paul
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
6
0
Paul
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Paul
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (274)
46.4% (532)
+9.8%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
59.1% (132)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
50.0% (30)
-6.6%
On even strength, Paul has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Paul is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Paul shoots left. Monahan is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Paul
Monahan
Home
52.3% (235)
49.0% (355)
Away
51.9% (185)
49.0% (339)
By Period
Paul
Monahan
P1
53.2%
49.8%
P2
53.8%
46.6%
P3
49.3%
50.9%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Nick Paul |