Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Monahan 53.9% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 58.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 66.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Paul
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
54.5% (231)
-0.7%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
58.2% (67)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
52.2% (23)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Paul shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Paul
Monahan
Home
54.2% (450)
53.5% (144)
Away
53.3% (471)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Paul
Monahan
P1
58.2%
52.5%
P2
50.6%
50.9%
P3
52.9%
60.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%