Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Nosek 58.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 83.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 72.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Paul
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Paul
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Paul
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
59.7% (469)
-5.9%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
100.0% (4)
-41.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
56.5% (124)
-9.1%
On power play, Nosek has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Paul shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Paul
Nosek
Home
54.2% (450)
59.0% (295)
Away
53.3% (471)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Paul
Nosek
P1
58.2%
56.3%
P2
50.6%
61.9%
P3
52.9%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |