Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Nosek 46.9% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Paul 53.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 53.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 58.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Paul
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
48.5% (66)
+4.7%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
100.0% (1)
-38.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
29.6% (27)
+20.4%
On power play, Nosek has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Paul shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Paul
Nosek
Home
54.6% (183)
44.0% (25)
Away
53.6% (233)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Paul
Nosek
P1
56.3%
46.4%
P2
54.8%
34.2%
P3
52.4%
53.6%
Final 5 min
59.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%