Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Nosek 51.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 50.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 53.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Paul
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Paul
Nosek
Last 7: Paul 2-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Paul
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Paul
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
53.0% (400)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
33.3% (12)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
45.5% (44)
+14.5%
On power play, Paul has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Paul shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Paul
Nosek
Home
49.7% (348)
49.6% (244)
Away
50.2% (438)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Paul
Nosek
P1
51.0%
53.1%
P2
47.4%
51.4%
P3
51.5%
51.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |