Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Nosek 51.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 58.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 63.0%
Neutral zone
Nosek 56.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Paul
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Paul
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Paul
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Paul
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
54.4% (215)
-1.3%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
0.0% (1)
+57.3%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
23.5% (17)
+34.5%
On power play, Paul has a +57.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Paul shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Paul
Nosek
Home
56.0% (466)
50.4% (127)
Away
52.7% (512)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Paul
Nosek
P1
57.2%
51.4%
P2
54.9%
51.3%
P3
51.5%
53.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:25 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |