Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Paul
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Paul
Seguin
Last 8: Paul 3-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Paul
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
1
Paul
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Paul
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
56.5% (712)
-3.5%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
59.7% (67)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
44.9% (49)
-2.0%
On power play, Seguin has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Paul shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Paul
Seguin
Home
52.5% (516)
58.5% (402)
Away
47.1% (329)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Paul
Seguin
P1
47.6%
58.4%
P2
48.4%
54.7%
P3
54.5%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 17, 2021 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |