Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Seguin 53.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 51.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 57.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 58.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Paul
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Paul
Seguin
Last 10: Paul 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
7
Paul
Seguin
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Paul
Seguin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Paul
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
53.7% (8,071)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
55.9% (810)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
49.3% (762)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Paul shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Paul
Seguin
Home
52.7% (2,412)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Paul
Seguin
P1
53.9%
52.8%
P2
51.0%
53.3%
P3
52.0%
54.7%
OT
50.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 17, 2021 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |