Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.6%). Paul wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Seguin 52.5% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Paul 60.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 50.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Paul
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
53.2% (201)
+0.0%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
60.0% (25)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Paul shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Paul
Seguin
Home
54.6% (183)
56.3% (126)
Away
53.6% (233)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Paul
Seguin
P1
56.3%
44.3%
P2
54.8%
52.1%
P3
52.4%
62.5%
OT
44.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%