Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Seguin 51.8% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 54.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 65.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Paul
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
54.8% (135)
-6.0%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
58.3% (24)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
26.7% (15)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Paul shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Paul
Seguin
Home
49.7% (348)
47.4% (95)
Away
50.2% (438)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Paul
Seguin
P1
51.0%
50.8%
P2
47.4%
57.1%
P3
51.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%