Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 61.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 54.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Paul
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Paul
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Paul
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
56.9% (478)
-3.8%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
57.4% (54)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
51.3% (76)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Paul shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Paul
Seguin
Home
56.0% (466)
57.4% (317)
Away
52.7% (512)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Paul
Seguin
P1
57.2%
50.3%
P2
54.9%
60.4%
P3
51.5%
58.0%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nick Paul |