Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Seguin 54.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 53.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 58.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 59.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Paul
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Paul
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
55.0% (713)
-1.2%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
56.7% (104)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
47.2% (53)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Paul shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Paul
Seguin
Home
54.2% (450)
56.2% (443)
Away
53.3% (471)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Paul
Seguin
P1
58.2%
54.2%
P2
50.6%
52.9%
P3
52.9%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |