Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 48.4% vs Hertl 52.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 82.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 55.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 58.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Schmaltz
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Schmaltz
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Schmaltz
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Schmaltz
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (133)
51.6% (1,084)
-8.7%
Power Play
55.1% (89)
61.0% (246)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
44.1% (136)
+3.0%
On even strength, Hertl has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hertl
Home
41.6% (125)
55.2% (696)
Away
54.4% (114)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hertl
P1
40.0%
55.4%
P2
59.5%
54.8%
P3
45.0%
48.9%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |