Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs Hertl 54.5% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 73.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 82.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 69.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Schmaltz
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schmaltz
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
54.1% (1,117)
-16.4%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
59.8% (296)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
34.4% (32)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hertl
Home
34.7% (49)
54.3% (709)
Away
45.1% (51)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hertl
P1
25.9%
51.6%
P2
46.2%
53.6%
P3
42.1%
58.6%
OT
46.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
34.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |