Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Hertl 55.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 52.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 59.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Schmaltz
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schmaltz
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Schmaltz
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
54.1% (717)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
61.9% (210)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
58.1% (31)
+0.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hertl
Home
49.0% (206)
58.1% (492)
Away
49.4% (170)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hertl
P1
53.6%
57.1%
P2
46.2%
54.0%
P3
50.4%
56.6%
OT
16.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |