Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 50.1%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.6% vs Zacha 50.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.4%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 53.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 53.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Suzuki
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Suzuki
Zacha
Last 6: Suzuki 3-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Suzuki
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,075)
48.0% (296)
+2.3%
Power Play
49.3% (219)
61.0% (59)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (116)
50.0% (22)
-6.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Suzuki shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Zacha
Home
53.6% (711)
48.9% (223)
Away
45.5% (699)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Suzuki
Zacha
P1
48.5%
47.9%
P2
51.7%
48.3%
P3
49.0%
54.3%
OT
43.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.6%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |