Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Zacha 52.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 51.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 56.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Suzuki
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Suzuki
Zacha
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
1
Suzuki
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
5
Suzuki
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
54.1% (534)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
56.0% (109)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
44.8% (96)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Zacha
Home
53.2% (645)
53.4% (406)
Away
50.1% (673)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Suzuki
Zacha
P1
48.9%
56.8%
P2
51.5%
53.6%
P3
54.9%
49.2%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |