Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Zacha 51.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 70.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 71.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 57.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Suzuki
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Suzuki
Zacha
Last 10: Suzuki 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
6
1
Suzuki
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Suzuki
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
53.3% (646)
-2.0%
Power Play
49.8% (265)
53.0% (100)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
38.9% (72)
-2.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Suzuki shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Zacha
Home
50.6% (603)
51.7% (410)
Away
50.1% (623)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Suzuki
Zacha
P1
52.3%
57.7%
P2
47.5%
48.9%
P3
51.1%
50.2%
OT
48.6%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |