Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 52.4% vs Zacha 54.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.6%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 51.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Suzuki
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Suzuki
Zacha
Last 10: Suzuki 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
6
0
Suzuki
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Suzuki
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,096)
53.9% (787)
-2.6%
Power Play
59.9% (157)
63.2% (193)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (58)
44.3% (88)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Suzuki shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Zacha
Home
54.2% (638)
56.7% (538)
Away
51.0% (673)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Suzuki
Zacha
P1
51.5%
52.6%
P2
53.3%
54.8%
P3
52.4%
56.8%
OT
58.3%
59.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |