Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suzuki wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Zacha 46.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 63.7%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 79.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 75.5%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Suzuki
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Suzuki
Zacha
Last 6: Suzuki 5-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
45.3% (247)
+1.7%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
58.1% (31)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
22.2% (18)
+24.4%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Suzuki shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Zacha
Home
49.4% (686)
39.7% (131)
Away
45.3% (715)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Suzuki
Zacha
P1
45.6%
42.9%
P2
46.9%
46.4%
P3
49.8%
42.3%
OT
38.1%
87.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:03 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |