Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.1%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Zacha 49.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 36-24 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 62.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 50.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 61.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Suzuki
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
24
(60 meetings)
36
24
Suzuki
Zacha
Last 10: Suzuki 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
17
7
Suzuki
Zacha
24 total
Defensive Zone
Even
11
11
Suzuki
Zacha
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
8
6
Suzuki
Zacha
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
48.9% (5,102)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
55.6% (804)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
42.2% (555)
+1.4%
On power play, Zacha has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Suzuki shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Zacha
Home
51.0% (3,997)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Suzuki
Zacha
P1
48.8%
49.9%
P2
49.1%
49.2%
P3
50.2%
48.1%
OT
44.4%
53.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |