Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.4% vs Sturm 47.0% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 54.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 59.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Coyle
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Sturm
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Coyle
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (603)
29.4% (17)
+16.9%
On even strength, Coyle has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Coyle is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Coyle shoots right. Sturm is 18.2% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Coyle
Sturm
Home
45.6% (373)
40.0% (10)
Away
46.2% (329)
14.3% (7)
By Period
Coyle
Sturm
P1
45.9%
25.0%
P2
46.4%
42.9%
P3
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
29.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |