Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Roy 48.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 77.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 60.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Sturm
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sturm
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sturm
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Sturm
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
49.5% (746)
+4.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.7% (75)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
42.7% (110)
+7.3%
On power play, Roy has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Sturm shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Sturm
Roy
Home
54.0% (287)
47.7% (491)
Away
52.0% (302)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Sturm
Roy
P1
53.5%
51.1%
P2
51.0%
44.6%
P3
55.1%
50.9%
OT
20.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |