Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Roy 48.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 53.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 58.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Sturm
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sturm
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Sturm
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
48.3% (633)
+7.8%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
52.1% (48)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
43.7% (87)
+7.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Sturm shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Sturm
Roy
Home
55.6% (412)
50.8% (376)
Away
56.0% (468)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Sturm
Roy
P1
59.6%
53.8%
P2
52.0%
43.5%
P3
55.5%
46.4%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |