Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Hartman 45.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 85.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 61.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 63.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Sturm
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sturm
Hartman
Last 6: Sturm 2-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
4
Sturm
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
44.8% (936)
+9.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
49.4% (154)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
33.3% (54)
+16.7%
On power play, Hartman has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Sturm shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Sturm
Hartman
Home
54.0% (287)
47.4% (568)
Away
52.0% (302)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Sturm
Hartman
P1
53.5%
47.2%
P2
51.0%
43.4%
P3
55.1%
43.8%
OT
20.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |