Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Hartman 45.5% (+9.6%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 74.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 70.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Sturm
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
44.8% (830)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
37.5% (16)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Sturm shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Sturm
Hartman
Home
53.0% (168)
45.0% (515)
Away
56.0% (193)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Sturm
Hartman
P1
58.2%
46.5%
P2
53.2%
39.9%
P3
52.3%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%