Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 67.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Hartman 47.3% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 70.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 92.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 86.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Sturm
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Sturm
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
47.1% (649)
+13.5%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
47.1% (68)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
45.2% (73)
+11.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Sturm shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Sturm
Hartman
Home
61.6% (451)
46.5% (361)
Away
58.2% (376)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Sturm
Hartman
P1
55.9%
45.1%
P2
58.9%
44.4%
P3
64.6%
50.9%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |