Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 64.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Hartman 48.1% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 54.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 72.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 69.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Sturm
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Sturm
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
48.1% (520)
+14.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
44.7% (47)
+30.3%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
47.8% (23)
-9.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Sturm shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Sturm
Hartman
Home
61.8% (191)
48.3% (360)
Away
56.3% (231)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Sturm
Hartman
P1
58.0%
48.5%
P2
57.9%
45.2%
P3
60.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
58.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |