Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Hartman 44.0% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 85.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 75.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 83.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 82.7%
17.3%
82.7%
Sturm
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Sturm
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Sturm
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Sturm
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Sturm
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
42.6% (495)
+13.5%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
38.5% (26)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
48.8% (43)
+2.3%
On power play, Sturm has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Sturm shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Sturm
Hartman
Home
55.6% (412)
43.4% (288)
Away
56.0% (468)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Sturm
Hartman
P1
59.6%
43.1%
P2
52.0%
43.4%
P3
55.5%
42.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |