Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Sturm wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Hartman 45.3% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 79.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 68.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 59.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Sturm
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Sturm
Hartman
Last 10: Sturm 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Sturm
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
1
Sturm
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
5
Sturm
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
45.2% (4,235)
+11.9%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
47.4% (443)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
42.4% (262)
+8.6%
On power play, Sturm has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Sturm shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Sturm
Hartman
Home
57.1% (1,614)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Sturm
Hartman
P1
56.5%
46.0%
P2
54.9%
42.9%
P3
57.4%
46.8%
OT
60.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |