Nico Sturm vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 58.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 86.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 85.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Sturm 4-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
43.0% (349)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
31.8% (88)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Sturm shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.0% (287)
38.5% (231)
Away
52.0% (302)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.5%
40.2%
P2
51.0%
36.0%
P3
55.1%
45.1%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
53.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 9, 2022 | OT | 00:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |