Nico Sturm vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 70.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 88.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 85.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Sturm 5-0 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
45.4% (527)
+10.7%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
41.2% (17)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
44.9% (138)
+6.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Sturm shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.6% (412)
46.1% (336)
Away
56.0% (468)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
59.6%
49.1%
P2
52.0%
45.3%
P3
55.5%
42.0%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | OT | 01:19 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |