Nico Sturm vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+10.3%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 59.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
50.3% (479)
+11.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.0% (28)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
30.0% (50)
+8.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Sturm shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
61.8% (191)
48.9% (270)
Away
56.3% (231)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
58.0%
48.7%
P2
57.9%
50.0%
P3
60.6%
47.3%
Final 5 min
58.3%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%